Axioma: Trumponomics delivers a big risk deficit with China
President Trump’s trade tactics with China rely on its bigger economic dependence on exports to the US than the US’s reliance on exports to China. Without getting into the merits of the numbers, or the wisdom of the strategy itself, investors seem to have added one more deficit to the US-China story; a risk deficit.
A look at charts 6 & 7 of the US and China Equity Risk Monitors1 respectively, highlights the deficit in question both in terms of predicted volatility (by all four of our risk
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